PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) is set to reshape U.S. prediction markets. The CFTC approved PredictIt’s new exchange to operate as a DCM and DCO. Traders will get access to broader event contracts beyond politics when PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) goes live. The platform’s regulatory history, court settlements, and partnerships underpin this October launch. Below is a concise guide to what the PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) means for traders and the market.
PredictIt launch overview
PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) converts the long-running PredictIt site into a fully regulated exchange. Aristotle, Inc. operates the platform and worked with the Prediction Market Research Consortium on settlement arrangements. The CFTC signaled approval to let PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) under a DCM/DCO framework. This change aims to boost liquidity and broaden eligible contracts.
Who: Aristotle, Inc.
Aristotle, Inc. runs PredictIt and will oversee operations after the PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO). The Prediction Market Research Consortium, a not-for-profit seeking 501(c)(3) status, plays a role in settlement. The CFTC remains the U.S. regulator supervising the exchange after PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO). These parties together seek long-term regulatory clarity.
CFTC approval context
The CFTC approval cleared regulatory hurdles that followed a revoked 2014 no-action letter. PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) arrives after litigation and mid-2023 settlements that kept markets operating. This regulatory status aims to prevent future disruptions. U.S. traders will now trade under a clearer rulebook thanks to the CFTC’s ruling.
October launch timeline
PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) is scheduled for October. The October launch will expand market categories and onboarding for U.S. users. Expect a phased rollout with new contract types added over time. Early adopters should prepare accounts and KYC for the live launch.
Fees and withdrawals
PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) will apply platform fees to support operations. The site charges roughly a 10% fee on profits and a 5% withdrawal fee. These fees are part of the exchange’s business model and governance under the DCM/DCO rules. Traders should factor fees into backtests and position sizing.
DCM and DCO details
PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) means the exchange will clear contracts and manage derivatives rules in-house. Operating as a DCM and DCO increases oversight and market safeguards. That structure may lead to deeper liquidity and more varied contract types. It also brings compliance obligations typical for regulated U.S. exchanges.
Competition: Kalshi, Polymarket
PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) arrives into a market with Kalshi and Polymarket as notable competitors. Each platform follows a distinct regulatory path and product mix. PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) focuses on U.S. retail participation with a regulated backbone. Traders will compare fees, market depth, and contract variety across platforms.
Regulatory status explained
PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) reflects a strategy to secure long-term compliance. Court settlements and collaboration with the Prediction Market Research Consortium helped stabilize the platform’s legal footing. The CFTC’s oversight is central to that regulatory status. A regulated exchange reduces legal risk for U.S.-based traders.
How trading works
PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) uses markets where share prices reflect event probabilities. Traders buy and sell contracts, and prices move with sentiment and liquidity. Profit fees and withdrawal fees apply at settlement and cashout. The platform’s rules after PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) will govern dispute resolution and clearing.
Frequently asked questions about PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) (faq)
When does the PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) happen?
The PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) is scheduled for October, with phased rollouts likely.
Who regulates the new PredictIt exchange?
The CFTC approved PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) to operate as a designated contract market and derivatives clearing organization.
What fees apply after the PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO)?
Expect about a 10% fee on profits and a 5% withdrawal fee as part of the platform’s model.
Will PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) compete with Kalshi and Polymarket?
Yes. PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO) enters a competitive field alongside Kalshi and Polymarket, differentiated by its DCM/DCO structure.
How does the Prediction Market Research Consortium factor in?
The consortium helps with settlement processes and legal structure related to PredictIt launch (DCM/DCO).
Sources to this article
Aristotle, Inc. (2025) PredictIt platform materials.
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (2025) CFTC approval documents.
Prediction Market Research Consortium (2025) organizational filings.
